Bull Market About To Get Gored?

Bull Market About To Get Gored?

Bull Market About To Get Gored? The technical health of the markets have gotten nasty in a hurry.  Just a few weeks ago, a friendly Federal Reserve and a strong economy seemed destined to pull the Dow Jones Industrial Average to our original target of 30K,  “Dow 30K?  Yes, but…” (https://markonomics101.com/2019/03/04/dow-30k-yes-but/).  Mea Culpa.  Maybe. The […]

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Federal Reserve Stokes ANOTHER Asset Bubble

The Incredible NON-Credible Fed   Three months ago, the Federal Reserve expected to raise interest 3 times in 2019.  At the conclusion of the Fed Meeting on March 20th, the Fed announced that it expects NO rate increases as far as the eye can see.  Chairman Jerome Powell also announced a MUCH earlier termination of […]

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Federal Reserve To The Rescue?

The Fed’s Functions Since it was established in 1913 to be the Central Bank of the United States, the objectives of the Federal Reserve have changed.  Originally, the main job of the Fed was to enhance economic and price stability to lessen severe economic swings.  Since then, its mission has been amended over the years, […]

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Plunging Yields Point to Rising Deflation Risk

Long Term Interest Rates Plunge to 2.9% Despite the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) policy of slowly raising rates to “Neutral”, the Bond Market won’t cooperate.  On Thursday, yields fell to a level that, not long ago, seemed UNTHINKABLE. The Mini-Slideshow below illustrates the dramatic downward moves in 5 year, 10 year and 30 year maturities.  […]

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Are We Heading Straight into Global Deflation?

Commodities, Led By Oil, Make New Lows Crude Oil is an input into producing virtually everything, including itself.  It takes oil to transport, refine, drill or pump oil.  Energy is a large portion of the cost of just about everything. West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil closed at $46.60 yesterday, a 40% drop since October.  The […]

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Collapsing Financials Lead Stock Markets Lower

Is GE Capital the Canary In the Coal Mine? Evidence is mounting quickly that a 2008-style Financial Panic is a distinct possibility before the end of 2019.   Something is VERY wrong at GE Capital (GECC), the financing subsidiary of General Electric (GE).  With nearly $500 Billion in assets, GECC would rank 7th between Morgan […]

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Is Another Financial System Crisis Dead Ahead?

Has The Fed Miscalculated, AGAIN?? The recent about-face in US Treasury rates is nothing short of stunning.  Or is it? At the end of 2015, Janet Yellen’s Federal Reserve first began the process of unwinding the prior years of stimulus.   The key “Federal Funds” rate target was hiked a full five times.  Even so, […]

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Interest Rates in Sudden, Full Reverse

Federal Reserve Chairman Signals Change in Policy Jerome Powell has only been on the job as the new Federal Reserve Chairman since February, but has already created substantial controversy.  Powell’s Fed has raised the “Federal Funds” rate 3 times in 6 months.  Until recently, the Fed was signalling another rate hike in December and up […]

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Stock Markets Bracing For Recession?

Bull Vs. Bear Debate Continues. As the major stock market indexes plunged during most of October, fear began to grip Wall Street.  On October 29th, the intraday trading range for the stodgy Dow Jones Industrial Average was nearly 1000 points.  The lows lasted a fraction of a second, however. Within the next 24 hours, the […]

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Crashing Crude Oil Prices: A Sign of Oncoming Recession?

Crude Oil in Record Setting Plunge. Just two weeks ago, a barrel of West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil (WTIC) fetched $75, a new multi-year high.  Today, that same barrel trades at just above $55, a loss of 27%.   This price collapse in Oil was the largest in that short of a time period in […]

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