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Medicare For All Cripples Health Care Sector

Medicare For All Cripples Health Care Sector   Until very recently, the policy called “Medicare For All” (MFA) was a political non starter.  Current polls, however, show a MUCH deeper than previously believed level of support.  Albeit, with one HUGE reservation.  Voters are MUCH less keen on Medicare the minute the price tag is mentioned:  […]

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The Unstoppable Parabolic Increase In Debt!

Bloated Government And Exploding Deficits The Federal Government operates in a way that not one Congressperson operates.  For the last 50 years, Congressionally approved Budgets have had larger and generally growing deficits. No responsible American, including those same Congresspeople, would spend 5% MORE than they earned every year.  Congressmen and women, on the other hand […]

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Charts, Markets And The Presidential Elections

It’s The Market, Stupid   In the 1992 Presidential election, James Carville coined the phrase “It’s the economy, stupid”.  The slogan was a reminder to candidate Bill Clinton the electorate votes with its wallet. That is clearly still true, but as the Chart on the left suggests, the stock market may be the MOST important […]

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Surviving The Government Shutdown “Crisis”

What is a Government Shutdown? The Constitution provides for Federal spending to be proposed by Congress AND agreed to by the President.  When the parties fail to produce a funding bill, the Government may be forced to “partially” shut down. Failure to pass a budget has led to a shutdown about 20 times.  Many of […]

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Plunging Yields Point to Rising Deflation Risk

Long Term Interest Rates Plunge to 2.9% Despite the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) policy of slowly raising rates to “Neutral”, the Bond Market won’t cooperate.  On Thursday, yields fell to a level that, not long ago, seemed UNTHINKABLE. The Mini-Slideshow below illustrates the dramatic downward moves in 5 year, 10 year and 30 year maturities.  […]

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Collapsing Financials Lead Stock Markets Lower

Is GE Capital the Canary In the Coal Mine? Evidence is mounting quickly that a 2008-style Financial Panic is a distinct possibility before the end of 2019.   Something is VERY wrong at GE Capital (GECC), the financing subsidiary of General Electric (GE).  With nearly $500 Billion in assets, GECC would rank 7th between Morgan […]

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Crashing Crude Oil Prices: A Sign of Oncoming Recession?

Crude Oil in Record Setting Plunge. Just two weeks ago, a barrel of West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil (WTIC) fetched $75, a new multi-year high.  Today, that same barrel trades at just above $55, a loss of 27%.   This price collapse in Oil was the largest in that short of a time period in […]

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Peekaboo Inflation: Now You See It, Now You Don’t.

Signs of Inflation Rapidly Vanish. For the 12 months ended September, 2018, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported to be increasing at an annual rate of 2.3% (https://www.bls.gov/cpi/).  The CPI is the “official” measure of how much more it costs an individual each year to maintain a consistent standard of living. Unfortunately, the CPI […]

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Bond Rating Agencies Yield Junky Results

Marko’s Take Originally written May 31, 2010 Bond Ratings Agencies Yield Junky Results Think a certain credit rating means something?  Think again! Amid the financial crisis which enveloped the global financial system in 2008-2009, Standard & Poors (S & P) and Moody’s played a central role.  So much paper with sub-prime mortgages defaulted that were originally […]

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