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The Unstoppable Parabolic Increase In Debt!

Bloated Government And Exploding Deficits The Federal Government operates in a way that not one Congressperson operates.  For the last 50 years, Congressionally approved Budgets have had larger and generally growing deficits. No responsible American, including those same Congresspeople, would spend 5% MORE than they earned every year.  Congressmen and women, on the other hand […]

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New Bull Market Highs in 2019??

Markets Surge on Various “Optimisms” News that a tentative Budget Deal was reached hit the tape Monday evening and sent overseas markets higher.  By the time the closing bell rang in New York yesterday, the Dow Industrials (Dow) gained a cool 373 points. In a BULL Market, EVERYTHING is “GOOD” news.  Markets rally when the […]

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Precious Metals Puzzle (Charts Of the Day 7).

Gold Strengthens As Inflation Weakens?   Gold appears to have formed a bottom of sorts, but the reason is a bit of a mystery. Precious metals have proven to be a durable LONG RUN hedge against the ravages of inflation and other financial crisis. However, Gold lost much of its luster in that regard after […]

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Christmas Crash (cont.)?

Is History About To Rhyme? Someone wise once said that “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it DOES rhyme”.  That quote, sometimes attributed to Mark Twain, is extraordinarily relevant today.   The Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) is somewhere in the middle of a “Waterfall Decline” that began on December 1.  Since then, the Dow has […]

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Christmas Market Crash: The Credit Crisis of 2019.

The Anticipated “Waterfall Decline” Has Begun A “Waterfall Decline”, in Markonomics lingo, refers to a drop of AT LEAST 15% within a few weeks.  A “Crash” is a one or two day event in which the imbalance of sellers over buyers requires extraordinary measures such as trading halts.  Major indexes lose at least 10% in […]

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Are We Heading Straight into Global Deflation?

Commodities, Led By Oil, Make New Lows Crude Oil is an input into producing virtually everything, including itself.  It takes oil to transport, refine, drill or pump oil.  Energy is a large portion of the cost of just about everything. West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil closed at $46.60 yesterday, a 40% drop since October.  The […]

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Will the Stock Market Get a “Santa Claus Rally” or “Season’s Beatings”?

Is Santa Claus Coming To Town? Also known as the “December Effect”, the Santa Claus rally refers to the tendency of the Stock Markets to rally during the winter holidays.  Yale Hirsch first coined the term in 1967 in the “Stock Trader’s Almanac”.  (https://www.stocktradersalmanac.com/).     The evidence, as compiled by the Wall Street Journal, […]

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Stock Markets Poised For Waterfall Decline?

Stock Indexes Nearing Major Support The Major Stock Indexes are, once again, approaching their 2018 lows and key support.  The markets have successfully bounced off these levels 8 separate times.  A ninth bounce of substance is looking increasing improbable. Economic and market conditions are rapidly deteriorating.  The plunge in Crude Oil prices and Treasury Rates […]

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Is Another Financial System Crisis Dead Ahead?

Has The Fed Miscalculated, AGAIN?? The recent about-face in US Treasury rates is nothing short of stunning.  Or is it? At the end of 2015, Janet Yellen’s Federal Reserve first began the process of unwinding the prior years of stimulus.   The key “Federal Funds” rate target was hiked a full five times.  Even so, […]

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A Bear Market in Bull Market’s Clothing?

Is Mr. Market Patiently Setting Up His Next Heist? The term “Mr. Market” is credited to legendary value investor Benjamin Graham.   According to Investopedia (https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/mr-market.asp), Graham  first introduced Mr. Market in his 1949 book, The Intelligent Investor.   Mr. Market is a hypothetical investor whose decisions are driven by alternating bouts of panic and […]

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