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Gold Struggles Beneath Major Resistance (Chart of The Day 22)

Gold Struggles Beneath Major Resistance   After once again teasing its proponents, Gold appears to be tracing out a short term ROUNDED TOP pattern.  If it completes the pattern, GLD is likely to return to retest its support near last summer’s lows. The case for Gold continues to strengthen from  a fundamental standpoint, but its […]

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Golden Opportunities

Golden Opportunities Gold enthusiasts have waited YEARS for their day to come.  But it never does.  For the last 5 years, Gold has traded in a fairly narrow range with the high being about $1370 and a low of, a bit above $1000.  Will this run up be different? We have been prematurely BULLISH on […]

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Trades for The Next Leg Up in the BULL MARKET

Trades for The Next Leg Up in the Bull Market   After the frightening plunge in Stocks on Friday, the action today could NOT have been better.  Major equity indexes, which spent most of the day lower, closing in positive territory.  Even more encouraging was the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index (RUT) which was the […]

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Has The BEAR MARKET Been Knocked Out?

Rounded Bottoms For Many Stocks and Sectors There is increasing evidence that the sharp and short BEAR MARKET of 2018 ended on Christmas Eve.  Until recently, the rally had the hallmarks of a typical BEAR MARKET rally: excruciating volatility, illiquidity, and poor volume.   For more on the characteristics of BEAR Market rallies: “Characteristics of […]

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Federal Reserve To The Rescue?

The Fed’s Functions Since it was established in 1913 to be the Central Bank of the United States, the objectives of the Federal Reserve have changed.  Originally, the main job of the Fed was to enhance economic and price stability to lessen severe economic swings.  Since then, its mission has been amended over the years, […]

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Gold Approaches Major BUY Zone (Chart of the Day 12)

Will This Time Be Different? Precious metals have disappointed their fans and enthusiasts for YEARS.  After peaking at about $1900 per ounce in 2011, Gold is still 1/3 lower 8 years later. The 2011 runup was the result of inflation fears from Quantitative Easing (QE) by the Federal Reserve.  QE was the program of massive […]

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Precious Metals Puzzle (Charts Of the Day 7).

Gold Strengthens As Inflation Weakens?   Gold appears to have formed a bottom of sorts, but the reason is a bit of a mystery. Precious metals have proven to be a durable LONG RUN hedge against the ravages of inflation and other financial crisis. However, Gold lost much of its luster in that regard after […]

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Is Another Financial System Crisis Dead Ahead?

Has The Fed Miscalculated, AGAIN?? The recent about-face in US Treasury rates is nothing short of stunning.  Or is it? At the end of 2015, Janet Yellen’s Federal Reserve first began the process of unwinding the prior years of stimulus.   The key “Federal Funds” rate target was hiked a full five times.  Even so, […]

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Crashing Crude Oil Prices: A Sign of Oncoming Recession?

Crude Oil in Record Setting Plunge. Just two weeks ago, a barrel of West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil (WTIC) fetched $75, a new multi-year high.  Today, that same barrel trades at just above $55, a loss of 27%.   This price collapse in Oil was the largest in that short of a time period in […]

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Peekaboo Inflation: Now You See It, Now You Don’t.

Signs of Inflation Rapidly Vanish. For the 12 months ended September, 2018, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported to be increasing at an annual rate of 2.3% (https://www.bls.gov/cpi/).  The CPI is the “official” measure of how much more it costs an individual each year to maintain a consistent standard of living. Unfortunately, the CPI […]

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