Federal Reserve Stokes ANOTHER Asset Bubble

The Incredible NON-Credible Fed   Three months ago, the Federal Reserve expected to raise interest 3 times in 2019.  At the conclusion of the Fed Meeting on March 20th, the Fed announced that it expects NO rate increases as far as the eye can see.  Chairman Jerome Powell also announced a MUCH earlier termination of […]

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Global Bond Yields COLLAPSE!

Stocks And Bonds Diverge   It wasn’t that long ago the markets anticipated a substantial economic slowdown.  The 20% or so plunge in equities was coupled with a sizable drop in Treasury Bond Yields. Something odd is going on.  Most key equity indexes are approaching all-time highs.  Bonds yields, on the other hand, are breaking […]

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Plunging Yields Point to Rising Deflation Risk

Long Term Interest Rates Plunge to 2.9% Despite the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) policy of slowly raising rates to “Neutral”, the Bond Market won’t cooperate.  On Thursday, yields fell to a level that, not long ago, seemed UNTHINKABLE. The Mini-Slideshow below illustrates the dramatic downward moves in 5 year, 10 year and 30 year maturities.  […]

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Is Another Financial System Crisis Dead Ahead?

Has The Fed Miscalculated, AGAIN?? The recent about-face in US Treasury rates is nothing short of stunning.  Or is it? At the end of 2015, Janet Yellen’s Federal Reserve first began the process of unwinding the prior years of stimulus.   The key “Federal Funds” rate target was hiked a full five times.  Even so, […]

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Interest Rates in Sudden, Full Reverse

Federal Reserve Chairman Signals Change in Policy Jerome Powell has only been on the job as the new Federal Reserve Chairman since February, but has already created substantial controversy.  Powell’s Fed has raised the “Federal Funds” rate 3 times in 6 months.  Until recently, the Fed was signalling another rate hike in December and up […]

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Stock Markets Bracing For Recession?

Bull Vs. Bear Debate Continues. As the major stock market indexes plunged during most of October, fear began to grip Wall Street.  On October 29th, the intraday trading range for the stodgy Dow Jones Industrial Average was nearly 1000 points.  The lows lasted a fraction of a second, however. Within the next 24 hours, the […]

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Peekaboo Inflation: Now You See It, Now You Don’t.

Signs of Inflation Rapidly Vanish. For the 12 months ended September, 2018, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported to be increasing at an annual rate of 2.3% (https://www.bls.gov/cpi/).  The CPI is the “official” measure of how much more it costs an individual each year to maintain a consistent standard of living. Unfortunately, the CPI […]

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