For anyone who is a first-time reader, it would certainly be a valuable exercise to review our prior two posts: “Parabolic Collapse for Stocks Dead Ahead? (https://markonomics101.com/2018/10/19/parabolic-collapse-for-stocks-dead-ahead/) and “Characteristics of Bear Market Rallies” (https://markonomics101.com/2018/10/17/characteristics-of-bear-market-rallies/).
Parabolic Collapse for Stocks Dead Ahead? Bear Market Rallies are sharp, short, and usually retrace about 30% to 50% of the preceding decline, please see: “Characteristics Of A Bear Market Rally” (https://markonomics101.com/2018/10/17/characteristics-of-bear-market-rallies/). Sound familiar? Typically, they last no more than a day or two. If you blink, you might miss it completely. Bear market rallies […]
Characteristics of Bear Market Rallies We started to cover the topic of “Bear Market Rallies” in Mondays’s piece, “Mr. Market’s Bear Market Rallies” (https://markonomics101.com/2018/10/14/mr-markets-bear-market-rallies/). Their behavior differs so much from the type of trading in Bull Markets, that they have their own signature. This is quite valuable because of its informational content, but also provides […]
Mr. Market’s Bear Market Rallies? When markets go down, they often cascade. Rarely a Crash (a loss greater than 10% within 24 hours) might occur, while other times it’s known as a “Waterfall” (a series of consecutive down days, none of which is greater than 10%). A Waterfall is a loss of 25% in more […]
Are Precious Metals Finally Bottoming? Early this year, Gold and Silver looked like they were positioned in an outrageously bullish set up (https://markonomics101.com/2018/07/15/inflection-point-part-2-financial-assets-give-way-to-hard-assets/), but until about 3 weeks ago, they had instead, taken a huge nose dive to near multi-year lows. Recently, with the economic landscape having changed so much, the Precious Metals Sector is showing […]
Another October Stock Market Crash? “Take Your Money Off The Table Before The Table Takes Your Money Off of You!” The Charts of the Major Indexes below demonstrate clearly why we have constantly warned of all these “Ascending Wedge” Patterns, “Reverse Wave” Patterns, and the much misunderstood “Hindenburg Omen”. These are the fingerprints of an […]
How to Survive, Prosper, and Thrive in The Coming Bear Market (Part 1). Imagine taking the same route home every day for a decade, while listening to your favorite music. Suddenly, you see signs everywhere telling you you’re going in the wrong direction. Nah, can’t be. Must be a mistake. It’s not. A cop’s lights […]
Marko’s Take Originally written May 31, 2010 Bond Ratings Agencies Yield Junky Results Think a certain credit rating means something? Think again! Amid the financial crisis which enveloped the global financial system in 2008-2009, Standard & Poors (S & P) and Moody’s played a central role. So much paper with sub-prime mortgages defaulted that were originally […]
Marko’s Take Written December 8th 2010 The Psychology Of Investing (Part 1) Successful investing is about far more than understanding value, balance sheets and quality of management. One also needs to be a pretty good amateur psychologist. Virtually all market tops and bottoms occur at emotional extremes: Bottoms coincide with widespread panic while […]
Asset Bubbles Start Popping as Interest Rates Surge. It was “too good to be true” for “too long to be true”. Nearly 38 years of falling interest rates (or RISING BOND PRICES) and a 9-year Bull Market in Equities appear to be beating a hasty retreat. Lots of signs were there: this unprecedented period of […]
