Important Market TOP Forming? The charts have turned VERY ugly even as the news remains relatively benign. It’s tempting to blame the recent market volatility on the ups and downs of the prospects for a US/China trade deal. The timing of the sudden market plunge points the finger squarely at Trade Tensions. “Trade Tensions […]
The Importance of Setting Trading Limits On Social Media, many of our recent posts and predictions have been questioned. There is doubt that an asset bubble, or series of them, is forming. Most analysts still believe that interest rates will be unchanged. In contrast, we recently made a case for the potential of an immediate […]
Golden Opportunities Gold enthusiasts have waited YEARS for their day to come. But it never does. For the last 5 years, Gold has traded in a fairly narrow range with the high being about $1370 and a low of, a bit above $1000. Will this run up be different? We have been prematurely BULLISH on […]
The Incredible NON-Credible Fed Three months ago, the Federal Reserve expected to raise interest 3 times in 2019. At the conclusion of the Fed Meeting on March 20th, the Fed announced that it expects NO rate increases as far as the eye can see. Chairman Jerome Powell also announced a MUCH earlier termination of […]
The Fed’s Functions Since it was established in 1913 to be the Central Bank of the United States, the objectives of the Federal Reserve have changed. Originally, the main job of the Fed was to enhance economic and price stability to lessen severe economic swings. Since then, its mission has been amended over the years, […]
The 3 Minute Ramp In the final 3 minutes of trading for 2018, the Dow Jones Industrials (Dow) gained an amazing 177 points (0.76%). The chart of the Dow on the left is for the period between 11:45 am EST and 4:00 pm EST on Monday. Each bar represents ONE minute. The stock market’s fireworks […]
Asset Re-Balancing To the Rescue? Asset allocation is nothing fancy. Certain investors, especially Pension Funds, routinely target a specific stock-to-bond ratio for their portfolios, for example 60/40. Since stocks and bonds will have different returns, the portfolio is brought back to its target ratio at the end of each quarter. If the equity portion of […]
Is History About To Rhyme? Someone wise once said that “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it DOES rhyme”. That quote, sometimes attributed to Mark Twain, is extraordinarily relevant today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) is somewhere in the middle of a “Waterfall Decline” that began on December 1. Since then, the Dow has […]
The Anticipated “Waterfall Decline” Has Begun A “Waterfall Decline”, in Markonomics lingo, refers to a drop of AT LEAST 15% within a few weeks. A “Crash” is a one or two day event in which the imbalance of sellers over buyers requires extraordinary measures such as trading halts. Major indexes lose at least 10% in […]
Equity Indexes All Make New 52 Week Lows Following the expected interest rate hike yesterday, EVERY MAJOR STOCK MARKET INDEX MADE NEW 52 WEEK LOWS. The anticipated BEAR MARKET is asserting itself with a vengeance. Nearly 1000 stocks made new lows as well. This is NOT a “Correction”. Many observers continue to fail to […]
