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The Importance of Setting Trading Limits

The Importance of Setting Trading Limits On Social Media, many of our recent posts and predictions have been questioned.  There is doubt that an asset bubble, or series of them, is forming.  Most analysts still believe that interest rates will be unchanged.  In contrast, we recently made a case for the potential of an immediate […]

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Golden Opportunities

Golden Opportunities Gold enthusiasts have waited YEARS for their day to come.  But it never does.  For the last 5 years, Gold has traded in a fairly narrow range with the high being about $1370 and a low of, a bit above $1000.  Will this run up be different? We have been prematurely BULLISH on […]

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Global Bond Yields COLLAPSE!

Stocks And Bonds Diverge   It wasn’t that long ago the markets anticipated a substantial economic slowdown.  The 20% or so plunge in equities was coupled with a sizable drop in Treasury Bond Yields. Something odd is going on.  Most key equity indexes are approaching all-time highs.  Bonds yields, on the other hand, are breaking […]

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Precious Metals Puzzle (Charts Of the Day 7).

Gold Strengthens As Inflation Weakens?   Gold appears to have formed a bottom of sorts, but the reason is a bit of a mystery. Precious metals have proven to be a durable LONG RUN hedge against the ravages of inflation and other financial crisis. However, Gold lost much of its luster in that regard after […]

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Christmas Crash (cont.)?

Is History About To Rhyme? Someone wise once said that “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it DOES rhyme”.  That quote, sometimes attributed to Mark Twain, is extraordinarily relevant today.   The Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) is somewhere in the middle of a “Waterfall Decline” that began on December 1.  Since then, the Dow has […]

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Inflection Point (Part 6): What Precious Metals?

Inflection Point (Part 6): What Precious Metals? So far, the Inflection Point Series appears to be largely unfolding along the lines that we laid out beginning in Part 1, which argued that the long run equity valuation cycle had more than run its course.  The key factors which had propelled the Stock Markets to dizzying […]

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Inflection Point (Part 3): The Ultimate Cryptocurrency Surprise

Inflection Point (Part 3): The Ultimate Cryptocurrency Surprise It’s pretty tough to recall a historical example of an “asset class” that has generated as much controversy as Cryptocurrencies.  On the one hand, established Wall Street veterans, such as J. P. Morgan Chase Bank CEO Jamie Dimon, have called Bitcoin a “fraud”  (https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/13/jamie-dimon-says-people-who-buy-bitcoin-are-stupid.html).  Others, such as […]

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Inflection Point (Part 2): Financial Assets Give Way to Hard Assets

Inflection Point (Part 2): Financial Assets Give Way to Hard Assets   Recently, we outlined the case for why equity prices may be at an historical Inflection Point (https://markonomics101.com/2018/07/12/inflection-point-part-1-the-long-term-equity-valuation-cycle/).  Both Price Earnings multiples (PEs) and Earnings themselves have very little apparent upside while being highly susceptible to a reversion to their long-run means.  Such a […]

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More Signs That Stocks Are Now In BEAR Mode

Just yesterday, we observed that the financial landscape may be changing.    It appears that Stocks and other “Risk Assets” were finally, FINALLY ready to enter something that only us old-timers remember: The Ravages of a Bear Market  (http://markonomics101.com/2018/06/26/a-cruel-summer-for-equities-the-bear-has-arrived/).  That particular argument is not just reflected in the charts, but also is consistent with other […]

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