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Triple Peaks For Stocks?

Triple Peaks For Stocks? Market conditions seem to have turned on a dime.  Just 6 trading days ago, several major indexes were grinding to new highs and threatening to go much higher.  Then came the flare-up in Trade tensions with China and suddenly the health of the markets took a nasty turn for the worse. […]

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Big Bank Theory! Financials Lead Stocks Higher.

Big Bank Theory! Financials Lead Stocks Higher. The 1st Quarter earnings parade began Friday with an unexpectedly great start.  Banking giant JP Morgan reported record revenues AND net income.  This put aside the residual fears from the disastrous 4th Quarter of 2018.  In fact, JPM made it clear that the feared “inverted yield curve” had […]

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New Market All Time Highs Dead Ahead and More Trades For the Next Leg

New Market All Time Highs Dead Ahead and More Trades For the Next Leg The notion that the Federal Reserve is stoking another Asset Bubble looks more correct every single day.  “Federal Reserve Stokes Another Asset Bubble”.    (https://markonomics101.com/2019/03/22/federal-reserve-stokes-another-asset-bubble/). First the Cryptocurrencies resurrected. “Cryptocurrency Sector Explodes Higher”.  (https://markonomics101.com/2019/04/06/cryptocurrency-sector-explodes-higher/). Bonds are already near their all time […]

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The Importance of Setting Trading Limits

The Importance of Setting Trading Limits On Social Media, many of our recent posts and predictions have been questioned.  There is doubt that an asset bubble, or series of them, is forming.  Most analysts still believe that interest rates will be unchanged.  In contrast, we recently made a case for the potential of an immediate […]

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Global Bond Yields COLLAPSE!

Stocks And Bonds Diverge   It wasn’t that long ago the markets anticipated a substantial economic slowdown.  The 20% or so plunge in equities was coupled with a sizable drop in Treasury Bond Yields. Something odd is going on.  Most key equity indexes are approaching all-time highs.  Bonds yields, on the other hand, are breaking […]

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Retail: The Best of Times or Worst of Times? (Chart of The Day 14)

The BEST Christmas in 6 Years or The WORST December in 10? Last week, the Census Bureau released Retail Sales data for the month of December.  The headline number was a stunning FALL of 1.2%. (The Chart on the Left is Seasonally adjusted month over month retail sales.) Following this news, investment banks  tripped over […]

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Chipmakers Poised To Lead Nasdaq HIGHER? (Chart of the Day 13)

Semiconductors Breaking Away Despite Bad Earnings An attribute of BULL Markets is the ability to rally in the face of bad news.  Usually, that means that bad news has already been taken into account and available sellers are exhausted. Semiconductors have not only been reporting lower earnings but reducing estimates for 2019 and 2020.  Despite […]

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Federal Reserve To The Rescue?

The Fed’s Functions Since it was established in 1913 to be the Central Bank of the United States, the objectives of the Federal Reserve have changed.  Originally, the main job of the Fed was to enhance economic and price stability to lessen severe economic swings.  Since then, its mission has been amended over the years, […]

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Bear Market, Interrupted?

Market Volatility Continues to Surge Over the 16 trading days ended yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrials (Dow) have had an average change EXCEEDING 400 points (1.75%) per day.  This level of volatility is FOUR TIMES the average for August and September and nearly TWICE the elevated levels of October and November. Since bottoming at 21,700, […]

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Christmas Crash (cont.)?

Is History About To Rhyme? Someone wise once said that “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it DOES rhyme”.  That quote, sometimes attributed to Mark Twain, is extraordinarily relevant today.   The Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) is somewhere in the middle of a “Waterfall Decline” that began on December 1.  Since then, the Dow has […]

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